Logan Lightning vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
LOG
13%
19%
69%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 3
LOG
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
ROC
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WOL
2 - 0
LOG
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 2
IPS
48%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
EAS
4 - 1
ROC
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WOL
2 - 1
EAS
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
IPS
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 6
EAS
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 6
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |