Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 4
LOG
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 3
OLY
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GOL
1 - 0
LOG
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 3
RED
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
MAG
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 6
BRR
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
CAP
67%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 1
PEN
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
CAP
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 2
OLY
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |