Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 0
LOG
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
LOG
0 - 3
WOL
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 3
IPS
63%
18%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
CAP
13%
17%
69%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAP
5 - 1
ALB
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 3
CAP
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |