Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
LOG
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 5
QUE
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
LOG
1 - 1
EAS
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
LOG
13%
19%
69%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 3
LOG
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
CAP
4 - 2
ROC
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
WOL
4 - 0
CAP
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
IPS
1 - 2
CAP
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CAP
6 - 1
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 2
CAP
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |