Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 3
IPS
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 7
WOL
21%
22%
56%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 5
CAP
15%
20%
66%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 9
CAP
8%
17%
75%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
TAR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 1
CAP
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |