Logan Lightning vs Brisbane Roar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 2
LOG
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 3
SUN
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
LOG
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
GCK
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BRR
2 - 3
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OLY
4 - 2
BRR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BRR
3 - 6
EAS
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BRR
1 - 2
GOL
45%
21%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 2
BRR
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |