Logan Lightning vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
6 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
LOG
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
LOG
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
WOL
7 - 1
LOG
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
WOL
4 - 1
ALB
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 6
EAS
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
ALB
57%
21%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 0
ROC
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +4 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |