Loeches vs Orusco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loeches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PSU
0 - 2
LME
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LME
4 - 1
MEJ
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COB
3 - 8
LME
15%
19%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LME
3 - 2
RVM
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COV
0 - 5
LME
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ORU
5 - 1
ARB
80%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TFU
3 - 3
ORU
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PSU
2 - 3
ORU
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ORU
4 - 2
MEJ
69%
17%
15%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COB
1 - 4
ORU
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |