Locarno vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
LOC
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LOC
2 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LOC
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LOC
3 - 5
TAV
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
LOC
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
HER
5 - 2
HOC
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
HER
15%
16%
68%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
GOL
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
HER
14%
16%
70%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HER
6 - 3
BRU
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |