Lobos ULMX vs Sporting Canamy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
8º
9
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 1
IRA
6%
15%
79%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
LUL
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 3
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Canamy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
5 - 1
PDS
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
3 - 2
CAN
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 1
HDZ
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
COL
2 - 1
CAN
28%
22%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
ZAC
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +2 |