Lobos ULMX vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
10º
10º
24
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUL
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
LUL
72%
19%
10%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
COL
51%
20%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 1
AGU
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAV
0 - 2
IRA
20%
24%
55%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
GAV
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
4 - 1
COR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 2
GAV
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 2
REB
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |