Lobos ULMX vs UA Tamaulipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
8º
16
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 3
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
0 - 1
AGU
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 2
HDZ
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TCS
1 - 1
LUL
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
7%
16%
78%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
COR
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
LEO
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
COR
0 - 5
GAV
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 3
COR
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |