Lobos BUAP vs Mérida B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
LOB
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 1
ALT
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LOB
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LOB
0 - 2
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
NEC
27%
32%
42%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
LEO
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UAT
2 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
3 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |