Lobos BUAP vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
NEC
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
5 - 2
LOB
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
LOB
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 1
ALT
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 4
LEO
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
DOR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |