Lobos BUAP vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LOB
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOB
3 - 1
TIJ
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 2
LOB
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOB
1 - 1
CHI
28%
29%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 2
LOB
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
4 - 0
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |