Lobos BUAP vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
UAP
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 0
LOB
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
LOB
4 - 0
TIJ
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 0
LOB
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LOB
0 - 0
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |