Lobos BUAP vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
TIJ
2 - 0
LOB
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
1 - 0
DUR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 1
LOB
17%
26%
57%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 2
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 1
LOB
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
DUR
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
PUM
14%
23%
63%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
VER
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 3
PUM
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
IRA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |