Lobos BUAP vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 2
LOB
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 1
REB
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
LOB
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LOB
1 - 3
PUM
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
TIJ
2 - 0
LOB
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
DUR
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
ORI
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ORI
3 - 1
VER
27%
27%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 0
ORI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
IRA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |