Lobos BUAP vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
SAG
1 - 1
LOB
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
LOB
4 - 3
TAM
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 2
LOB
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LOB
3 - 2
IND
32%
25%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 3
TAM
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 0
ORI
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ORI
3 - 1
IND
30%
26%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PUM
1 - 2
ORI
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ORI
0 - 0
UAT
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |