Lobos BUAP vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MER
4 - 1
LOB
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 0
LOB
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
ZAC
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
3 - 0
MUR
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NEC
4 - 0
MUR
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
5 - 0
UAT
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 3
MUR
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
3 - 0
MUR
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |