Lobos BUAP vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 2
LOB
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOB
2 - 1
CAÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UAT
1 - 3
LOB
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LOB
3 - 1
ALE
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 0
LOB
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
MER
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
UDG
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAF
5 - 1
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |