Lobos BUAP vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 0
LOB
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LOB
2 - 1
UAT
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
REB
1 - 2
LOB
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 2
LEO
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
PUM
0 - 0
LOB
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
DUR
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 2
MER
19%
26%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
VER
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
2 - 2
MER
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
IRA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |