Lobos BUAP vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 1
LOB
17%
26%
57%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 2
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 1
LOB
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOB
2 - 2
IRA
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 2
LOB
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
TIJ
3 - 2
DUR
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 3
GUE
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VER
2 - 2
DUR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
UDG
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |