Lobos BUAP vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TIJ
0 - 1
LOB
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LOB
1 - 1
DOR
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 2
LOB
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LOB
1 - 2
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
TIG
2 - 0
LOB
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
DUR
2 - 0
SAG
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
UAT
4 - 0
DUR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
DUR
3 - 0
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TIJ
1 - 2
DUR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 1
LEO
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |