Lobos BUAP vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
LOB
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ORI
2 - 1
LOB
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
LOB
2 - 4
CAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 1
LOB
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LOB
4 - 1
TAM
47%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 1
IND
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
LEO
1 - 0
DUR
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 0
AGU
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
TIG
2 - 1
DUR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 1
TOR
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |