Lobos BUAP vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 1
LOB
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LOB
4 - 1
TAM
47%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
LOB
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SAG
1 - 0
LOB
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
LOB
2 - 5
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
UAT
3 - 4
CAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TIJ
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 2
CAZ
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 1
PUE
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |