LMPS vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LMPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
QAL
0 - 0
LMP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LMP
0 - 0
MPH
40%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LMP
1 - 1
LFC
39%
27%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KLI
1 - 1
LMP
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LMP
0 - 2
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LDF
2 - 0
LFC
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LDF
1 - 0
QAL
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LDF
2 - 1
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LDF
1 - 1
KLI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
LDF
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |