Llwydcoed AFC vs Ely Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llwydcoed AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BFC
5 - 1
LLW
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LLW
0 - 2
BRI
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 0
LLW
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
LLW
1 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NWP
1 - 1
LLW
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ERA
3 - 2
TAF
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ERA
2 - 2
NEA
14%
20%
65%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TON
6 - 1
ERA
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ERA
2 - 4
BRI
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
PON
1 - 0
ERA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |