Llwydcoed AFC vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llwydcoed AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
ERA
3 - 2
LLW
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
3 - 1
LLW
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
LLW
0 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LLW
0 - 0
BFC
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LLW
1 - 0
DIN
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 2
TAF
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
GOY
7 - 3
CAR
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEA
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
TON
4 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
BRI
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |