Llucmajor vs Independiente C/r B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llucmajor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AND
5 - 3
LLU
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LLU
0 - 2
FER
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
LLU
54%
21%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LLU
4 - 3
SAR
36%
21%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
LLU
1 - 6
PON
33%
21%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente C/r B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
CAL
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 3
IND
63%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
IND
43%
21%
37%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
ATL
26%
20%
54%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
REC
5 - 1
IND
68%
17%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |