Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Llosetense vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llosetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SFF
0 - 1
LLO
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LLO
2 - 2
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CDE
1 - 4
LLO
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LLO
4 - 2
MER
56%
22%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CFP
3 - 7
LLO
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
UPL
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UPL
2 - 2
COV
61%
22%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
UPL
1 - 0
CAU
22%
27%
52%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 2
UPL
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UPL
0 - 0
ROB
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |