Llorenç vs Morell B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llorenç
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SSA
3 - 2
LLO
30%
21%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
LLO
4 - 1
ALC
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 5
LLO
29%
21%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LLO
3 - 6
TAN
32%
23%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
3 - 1
LLO
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Morell B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
MOB
52%
21%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MOB
1 - 0
PSM
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
EPP
4 - 0
MOB
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MOB
0 - 4
NSA
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 1
MOB
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -3 |