4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 6-5
Lloreda B vs Areté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
15.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lloreda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ART
2 - 3
LLO
29%
20%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
LLO
3 - 0
PPX
89%
8%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
YTB
0 - 8
LLO
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LLO
4 - 0
SPG
67%
16%
17%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GRA
2 - 2
LLO
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Areté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ART
2 - 3
LLO
29%
20%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ART
3 - 1
YTB
79%
12%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SPG
3 - 9
ART
56%
18%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ART
3 - 2
GRA
40%
20%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ART
3 - 5
POB
55%
19%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |