Segunda B Play-Offs Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Lleida CF vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
LLE
33%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LLE
1 - 0
BAR
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 2
LLE
20%
29%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LLE
2 - 0
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
LLE
22%
30%
48%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2016 |
RMC
2 - 2
UCA
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
UCA
2 - 1
RMC
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
RMC
6 - 1
ROD
83%
12%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TAL
3 - 4
RMC
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEI
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |