Llaranes B vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+866%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaranes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MCU
1 - 1
LRN
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LRN
1 - 4
HIS
17%
18%
66%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TAP
5 - 2
LRN
66%
18%
16%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LRN
1 - 5
AVI
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDP
5 - 4
LRN
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
VER
23%
21%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAR
17%
19%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
LES
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MCU
3 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |