Llanuwchllyn vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
86.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.3%
0-6
3.2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanuwchllyn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
LLA
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
BUC
10%
13%
77%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MBT
0 - 2
LLA
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TTF
2 - 10
LLA
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
FLI
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 6
TNS
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |