Llantwit Major vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 3
PAA
78%
14%
9%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 5
LLA
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
TAF
1 - 4
LLA
26%
22%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 1
GOY
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 0
RIS
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
RIS
7 - 0
POR
61%
18%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
RIS
1 - 1
TAF
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
RIS
2 - 5
BRI
11%
15%
74%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 0
RIS
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 0
RIS
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |