Llantwit Major vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SUF
0 - 1
LLA
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PFC
3 - 1
LLA
7%
12%
81%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | -3 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
AAF
2 - 1
LLA
38%
22%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 2
TAF
43%
21%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 0
LLA
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 3
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
LLA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |