Llantwit Major vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
7º
16º
7º
47
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 1
LLA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
SUF
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAF
0 - 1
LLA
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 3
LLA
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
2 - 2
LLA
26%
20%
55%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAR
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAM
21%
22%
56%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 3
LLA
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 0
CAM
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |