Llantwit Major vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
NWC
2 - 1
LLA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 0
LLA
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LLA
0 - 1
BDG
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 1
LLA
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LLA
2 - 1
CWM
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
PEN
75%
14%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 1
GOY
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAE
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
3 - 1
TAF
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAE
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |