Llanrhaeadr FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanrhaeadr FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AEL
2 - 2
LLA
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 3
LLA
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 0
LLA
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 3
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 0
AEL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
CEF
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 2
CEF
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAE
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |