Llanes vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
LLA
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
6 - 1
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 3
ESM
51%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CON
4 - 1
LLA
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LLA
3 - 2
GIN
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UPL
4 - 1
ESM
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
UPL
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UPL
0 - 1
GIN
80%
13%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 2
UPL
12%
20%
68%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
UPL
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |