Llanes vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NAV
0 - 2
LLA
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LLA
2 - 0
LEA
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CON
0 - 4
LLA
44%
27%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
LLA
6 - 0
TUR
81%
14%
5%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PCF
1 - 2
LLA
39%
27%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAR
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MOS
1 - 1
SPB
14%
23%
63%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAI
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CAU
0 - 1
SPB
42%
26%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |