Llanes vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
LLA
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 2
BOA
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TUR
5 - 1
LLA
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 2
COM
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AST
1 - 1
ROC
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
4 - 1
AST
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AST
2 - 0
TUR
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COM
3 - 2
AST
32%
24%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AST
1 - 0
PCF
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |