Llaneros de Guanare vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LLA
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LLA
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 3
ZAM
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ULA
0 - 1
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ATG
1 - 2
ULA
45%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ULA
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ULA
0 - 1
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
ULA
63%
20%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
ULA
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |