Llaneros de Guanare vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CDS
0 - 0
LLA
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
LLA
3 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ANZ
4 - 2
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LLA
3 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 2
LLA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
EST
1 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MIR
1 - 2
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
CDS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
EST
1 - 0
ANZ
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |