Llanelli AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 1
LLA
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 1
LID
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 2
LLA
49%
24%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
DTB
5 - 0
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 1
DTB
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 1
PRE
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
TNS
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
TNS
1 - 1
BAL
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
MID
5 - 2
TNS
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
TNS
1 - 3
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |