Llanelli AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LLA
4 - 0
NEA
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 2
TNS
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
PRE
1 - 2
LLA
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
LLA
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 2
BAN
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
TNS
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 2
TNS
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
NEA
2 - 2
TNS
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 2
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
PRE
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |