Llanelli AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
LLA
7 - 1
CAE
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
0 - 0
LLA
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 1
LLA
48%
23%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
8 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
TNS
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 2
TNS
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 1
LLA
48%
23%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NEA
2 - 2
TNS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |