Llanelli AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 3
LLA
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
0 - 1
BAN
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
LLA
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 5
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
HAV
0 - 2
LLA
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 2
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
POR
1 - 2
LLA
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
POR
2 - 3
CAE
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
CON
0 - 2
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |